Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 2490.449044 2689.673831 2889.777727 3105.520236 3331.234639 3560.100231 3809.392775
2025-12-07 2161.116685 2460.218123 2770.282939 3114.503031 3484.755119 3869.898459 4299.677428
2025-12-14 1927.023309 2285.612895 2666.454863 3098.540522 3572.703755 4074.892938 4644.663859
2025-12-21 1722.547137 2119.948686 2551.177833 3049.729237 3606.189623 4204.410469 4892.387381
2025-12-28 1658.124072 2100.630204 2588.867269 3161.456621 3808.693025 4512.176439 5329.178150
2026-01-04 1565.979266 2041.163846 2574.018200 3207.534761 3932.224819 4727.963579 5660.468359
2026-01-11 1464.151460 1963.061471 2531.488145 3216.274937 4008.546545 4886.868799 5924.809310
2026-01-18 1373.192916 1891.864654 2491.841803 3223.650217 4079.263822 5036.167786 6175.593405
2026-01-25 1292.200674 1827.754341 2456.336442 3232.057004 4147.934831 5180.560422 6418.718420
2026-02-01 1201.431597 1746.739648 2396.477324 3207.924594 4175.474788 5275.193061 6602.875850
2026-02-08 1132.099470 1688.728338 2361.250250 3210.328423 4231.774828 5401.131175 6821.481998
2026-02-15 1056.233851 1618.608808 2307.985074 3188.097707 4256.452405 5488.380218 6993.817787
2026-02-22 1019.069602 1597.860931 2316.073461 3241.539263 4373.299692 5686.059431 7298.163598
2026-03-01 963.462667 1550.457206 2288.914726 3250.309289 4435.617617 5819.357222 7527.681058
2026-03-08 900.794349 1490.516241 2243.280827 3233.903711 4465.577573 5912.959798 7709.557260
2026-03-15 828.231599 1413.578071 2172.836152 3183.743284 4452.049704 5952.974116 7826.719257
2026-03-22 828.663968 1437.105623 2232.822362 3298.547316 4641.699826 6236.758080 8233.665673
2026-03-29 802.199897 1421.534871 2240.451780 3345.882680 4747.423051 6419.460058 8520.495840
2026-04-05 762.423130 1385.194543 2219.114598 3354.860579 4804.549389 6542.909170 8736.293177
2026-04-12 724.532472 1349.778466 2197.601198 3362.436275 4859.034529 6662.572117 8947.239009
2026-04-19 689.262839 1316.536442 2177.725219 3371.071303 4914.051450 6782.369419 9158.089950
2026-04-26 644.258150 1266.691728 2133.487466 3346.283120 4925.615485 6848.148345 9303.118056
2026-05-03 611.154534 1233.260517 2110.648704 3348.752352 4971.072570 6955.045729 9497.669313